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| Criterion | ![]() Product Strategy Lean Canvas | ![]() Decision Making Assumption Surfacing | ![]() Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When an early product bet still has too many open points, it brings target group, problem, and assumptions into a single view. It condenses the idea so core risks become nameable. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | 45-90 min | 2-4 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-6 | 2-8 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Lean Canvas, Core Assumptions, Experiment Backlog | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections |
Tagsno overlap | StartupLeanAssumptionsBusiness model | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange |
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