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Criterion
Paper illustration for Landing Page Test.
Product Discovery
Landing Page Test
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
When a value proposition first needs to be checked for resonance, it condenses the idea onto a focused entry page. It shows whether language and offering carry interest.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLow
Timedifferent
1-5 Tage20–45 min45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
NutzertrafficSmall cross-functional group2-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Landing Page, Conversion Data, Learning SummaryRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
ValidationConversionMarketing
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration for Concierge MVP
Product Discovery
Concierge MVP
Paper illustration for Constraint Analysis.
Decision Making
Constraint Analysis