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| Criterion |  Product Strategy Impact Mapping |  Decision Making PERT Estimation |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures. | On complex initiatives, a plain average tends to understate just how uncertain the outcome really is. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a PERT Estimate, Expected Value, and Risk Notes. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 45-90 min | 15-45 min | 1-4 h or multiple rounds |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 1-8 | 4-12 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Impact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery Options | PERT Estimate, Expected Value, Risk Notes | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes |
Tagsno overlap | OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning | EstimationUncertaintyRisk | EstimationExpertsForecasting |
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