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Criterion
How Might We
Innovation
How Might We
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
With a stuck problem carrying many implicit assumptions, the method translates observations into open, workable questions. It sharpens the problem frame without pre-thinking the solution, turning frustration or fuzziness into a search space with clear direction.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
30–45 min60-120 min1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
1-102-86-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
HMW Questions, Challenge Framing, Idea PromptsConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
FramingOpportunityIdeationQuestions
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration for CATWOE Analysis.
Systems Thinking
CATWOE Analysis
Paper illustration of the Force Field Analysis working structure.
Decision Making
Force Field Analysis