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| Criterion |  Business Strategy GAP Analysis |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing. | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 1-3 h | 60-120 min | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 3-10 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Gap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk Notes | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | StrategyAnalysisPlanning | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |
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