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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration of VUCA Scan with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
VUCA Scan
Gap Analysis method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
GAP Analysis
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation.GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMedium
Timedifferent
60-120 min30-90 min1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
3-101-102-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsVUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning PlanGap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight
StrategyAnalysisPlanning
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration for Soft Systems Methodology.
Systems Thinking
Soft Systems Methodology
Paper illustration for Cynefin Workshop.
Decision Making
Cynefin Workshop
Paper illustration of a branching impact map with a Why goal at the root, actor circles, How behavior changes and What options.
Product Strategy
Impact Mapping