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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 30-90 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 1-10 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight | ChangeDecisionStrategy |
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