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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration for Soft Systems Methodology.
Systems Thinking
Soft Systems Methodology
Red Teaming method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Red Teaming
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.Soft Systems Methodology helps explore unclear or politically charged problems systematically. Instead of forcing a quick answer, the method builds a shared understanding of perspectives and room for action.For strategic decisions with high reach, agreement and gut feeling are often not enough. Red teaming brings deliberate opposition into the situation and tests where a plan breaks under real counterarguments.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighHigh
Timedifferent
60-120 min0.5-3 Tage1-4 h
Participantsdifferent
3-105-153-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsRich Picture, Root Definitions, Conceptual Models, Change AgendaChallenge Findings, Risk Register, Mitigation Plan
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
Soft systemsComplexitySensemakingSystems thinking
RiskDecisionSensemaking
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Cynefin Workshop.
Decision Making
Cynefin Workshop
Paper illustration of VUCA Scan with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
VUCA Scan
Paper illustration for Argument Mapping
Decision Making
Argument Mapping
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing