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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
60-120 min0.5-2 Tage60-120 min
Participantsdifferent
3-104-122-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsScenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust OptionsConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
StrategyUncertaintyPlanning
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of VUCA Scan with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
VUCA Scan
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Gap Analysis method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
GAP Analysis