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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Operations Root Cause Tree Analysis |  Agile Specification by Example |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | For a problem with several suspected causes, the method builds a causal structure instead of a mere list. It makes visible how causes connect and where the strongest points of leverage lie. | When business rules need to become precise, it ties language, example, and test together. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as an Example Table and Acceptance Tests. |
Complexitysame | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 1-3 h | 60-90 min pro Feature |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 2-8 | 3-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Cause Tree, Evidence Notes, Countermeasures | Example Table, Acceptance Tests |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | Root causeTreeIncidentQuality | AgileRequirementsExamplesBehavior-Driven Development |
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