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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Process Mapping method illustration showing its working structure
Operations
Process Mapping
Paper illustration of Barrier Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Barrier Analysis
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.With a confusing workflow that has many handoffs, the method makes the actual process visible. It shows where work is passed on, delayed, or duplicated, so improvement targets the right spots.For a risk that can only be managed through multiple layers of protection, the method examines the effectiveness of each barrier. It shows where safeguards are missing, too weak, or fail under real conditions.
Complexitysame
MediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
60-120 min1-3 h2-4 h
Participantsdifferent
3-103-102-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsProcess Map, Handoff List, Improvement BacklogBarrier Inventory, Failure Analysis per Barrier, Action Backlog
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
ProcessOperationsImprovement
Root causeSafetyIncident
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of MORT Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
MORT Analysis
Paper illustration of a review with planned work, actual event sequence, comparison, and assigned improvement actions.
Operations
After-Action Review
Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis