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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration for PDCA Cycle.
Operations
PDCA Cycle
A/B Testing workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Growth
A/B Testing
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.For an improvement that still has to prove itself in everyday work, the method runs it through small learning loops. It connects planning, checking, and standardization into a repeatable learning mode.When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowHigh
Timedifferent
60-120 min1 h bis mehrere Wochen1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
3-101-81-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsPDCA Log, Experiment Plan, Learning Outcome, Standard ChangeExperiment results, Decision log, Learning summary
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
Continuous improvementLeanExperiments
ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test