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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration of a branching impact map with a Why goal at the root, actor circles, How behavior changes and What options.
Product Strategy
Impact Mapping
Paper illustration of VUCA Scan with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
VUCA Scan
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures.The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
60-120 min45-90 min30-90 min
Participantsdifferent
3-103-81-10
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsImpact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery OptionsVUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning
SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Scenario Planning method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
Scenario Planning
Paper illustration for Soft Systems Methodology.
Systems Thinking
Soft Systems Methodology
Paper illustration for Theory of Change
Systems Thinking
Theory of Change
Paper illustration for Cynefin Workshop.
Decision Making
Cynefin Workshop