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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Gap Analysis method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
GAP Analysis
Paper illustration for Constraint Analysis.
Decision Making
Constraint Analysis
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing.When an initiative stalls, the limit often lies not in the idea but in hard or soft boundary conditions. Constraint Analysis separates these limits and shows which of them can actually be shaped.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
60-120 min1-3 h30-90 min
Participantsdifferent
3-102-82-8
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsGap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk NotesConstraint List, Hard/Soft Classification, Option Impact Notes, Decision Boundaries
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
StrategyAnalysisPlanning
ConstraintsDecisionPlanningOptions
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for TOWS Matrix.
Business Strategy
TOWS Matrix
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Decision Tree method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Decision Tree
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method