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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Facilitation Stakeholder Salience Model |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When stakeholders appear to matter very differently, the Stakeholder Salience Model rates their actual priority through power, legitimacy, and urgency. It turns individual contributions into a visible selection. The result is captured as a Salience diagram and a class-based strategy. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 1-4 Wochen | 60-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 6-30 Experten | 3-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Salience Diagram, Strategy per Class |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | StakeholdersFacilitationAlignmentGovernance |
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