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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making DACI |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | In cross-functional decisions, responsibilities quickly blur between approval, influence, and execution. DACI arranges these roles so decision pressure, contribution, and information stay cleanly separated. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 1-4 Wochen | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 6-30 Experten | 2-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | DACI Matrix, Decision Owner, Decision Log |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | DecisionRolesGovernanceAlignment |
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