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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Decision Making Cynefin Workshop |  Knowledge Modeling IBIS |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic. | IBIS structures thinking about complex questions as a sequence of issues, ideas, and arguments. The method keeps discussions open without forcing them into premature consensus. |
Complexitysame | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 60-180 min | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 4-20 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Cynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking Notes | Issue Map, Positions, Argument Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | ComplexitySensemakingDecision | RationaleKnowledgeDecision |
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