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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Operations Barrier Analysis |  Operations A3 Problem Solving |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | For a risk that can only be managed through multiple layers of protection, the method examines the effectiveness of each barrier. It shows where safeguards are missing, too weak, or fail under real conditions. | For a complex deviation with several people involved, the method bundles problem, analysis, and decision onto one page. It creates a shared working space where causes, countermeasures, and follow-up fit together. |
Complexitysame | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 2-4 h | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Barrier Inventory, Failure Analysis per Barrier, Action Backlog | A3 Report, Action Plan, Root Cause Analysis |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | Root causeSafetyIncident | LeanProblem solvingCoachingOperations |
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