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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Product Strategy DIBB |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 2-4 h | 10-30 min je Item | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 1-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis |
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