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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Growth Hooked Model |  Product Discovery Smoke Test |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | The Hooked Model helps clarify engagement loops, user behavior, and experiments. It makes repeat behavior measurable and captures the result as a hooked loop, trigger map, and reward design. | When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 2-4 h | Multiple workshops over several weeks | 1-5 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 2-8 | Nutzertraffic |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Hooked loop, Trigger map, Reward design, Ethics check | Interest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | GrowthBehaviorRetention | ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth |
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