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Criterion
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
A paper-based illustration representing Design Sprint with its core stages and visible working result.
Innovation
Design Sprint
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Purposedifferent
A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.When the product question is unclear and time pressure is high, the method takes a team from an open idea to a testable solution. It connects problem understanding, decision, and learning in one compact format, lowering the risk of spending a lot of energy on a mere guess.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.
Complexitydifferent
HighHighLow
Timedifferent
2-4 h4-5 Tage1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
3-85-8Nutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsPrototype, Test Findings, Decision RationaleInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
Design sprintPrototypeValidationInnovation
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Design Thinking as a learning loop: an observation notebook, a focused problem statement, different idea sketches, a cardboard prototype and user-test notes. Feedback leads to new understanding.
Innovation
Design Thinking