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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Business Strategy 5-Minuten VC-Check |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | The 5-Minute VC Check clarifies opportunities and strategic options at the earliest idea stage. It compares problem quality, customer willingness to pay, alternatives, differentiation, and market potential, and captures the result as a VC-check note, go/sharpen/park decision, and risk list. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 2-4 h | 1-4 Wochen | 5-15 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 6-30 Experten | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | VC-check note, Go/sharpen/park decision, Risk and assumption list, Next validation step |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | StartupValidationCompetition |
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