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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Systems Thinking Current Reality Tree |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once. |
Complexitysame | High | High | High |
Timedifferent | 2-4 h | 1-4 Wochen | 2-6 h |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 6-30 Experten | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Current Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention Ideas |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality |
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