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Criterion
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
A3 Problem-Solving workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
A3 Problem Solving
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Purposedifferent
A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.For a complex deviation with several people involved, the method bundles problem, analysis, and decision onto one page. It creates a shared working space where causes, countermeasures, and follow-up fit together.The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMedium
Timedifferent
2-4 h45-90 min60-120 min
Participantsdifferent
3-82-53-10
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsA3 Report, Action Plan, Root Cause AnalysisFutures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
LeanProblem solvingCoachingOperations
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Gemba Walk workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
Gemba Walk
Paper illustration for Intervention Mapping.
Systems Thinking
Intervention Mapping