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Criterion
Paper illustration for Flywheel.
Growth
Flywheel
Paper illustration for Fault Tree Analysis.
Operations
Fault Tree Analysis
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth.For a critical top event with several possible triggers, the method logically models failure paths. It makes visible which combinations of conditions can lead to damage.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
60-120 min2-6 h45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
3-83-82-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Flywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment BacklogFault Tree, Critical Paths, Cause Hypotheses, Control ActionsAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
GrowthRetentionConversion
RiskRoot causeSafety
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing