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Criterion
Paper illustration for Flywheel.
Growth
Flywheel
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
Growth often breaks down where a reinforcing mechanism builds up too much friction. A Flywheel shows the cycle of value, repetition, and reinforcement meant to sustain growth.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
60-120 min1-4 Wochen45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
3-86-30 Experten2-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Flywheel Map, Friction Points, Growth Levers, Experiment BacklogExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
GrowthRetentionConversion
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test