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| Criterion |  Operations Fault Tree Analysis |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | For a critical top event with several possible triggers, the method logically models failure paths. It makes visible which combinations of conditions can lead to damage. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. |
Complexitysame | High | High | High |
Timedifferent | 2-6 h | 1-4 Wochen | 1-4 h or multiple rounds |
Participantsdifferent | 3-8 | 6-30 Experten | 4-12 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Fault Tree, Critical Paths, Cause Hypotheses, Control Actions | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes |
Tagsno overlap | RiskRoot causeSafety | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | EstimationExpertsForecasting |
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