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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Agile Affinity Estimation |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 30-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 4-12 Experten | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Affinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear Items |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | EstimationExpertsForecasting | EstimationBacklogRelative sizing |
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