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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Decision Making Wideband Delphi |  Growth A/B Testing |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | A single opinion rarely holds up for planning when the future is genuinely uncertain. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as an Estimate Range, Assumption Log, and Expert Consensus Notes. | When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 1-4 h or multiple rounds | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 4-12 Experten | 1-6 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Estimate Range, Assumption Log, Expert Consensus Notes | Experiment results, Decision log, Learning summary |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | EstimationExpertsForecasting | ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation |
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