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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Decision Making Delphi Method |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 0.5-2 Tage | 1-4 Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 4-12 | 6-30 Experten |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop | Async |
Outputdifferent | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy |
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