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Criterion
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Design Thinking as a learning loop: an observation notebook, a focused problem statement, different idea sketches, a cardboard prototype and user-test notes. Feedback leads to new understanding.
Innovation
Design Thinking
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.For complex user problems with an uncertain cause, the method connects observation, interpretation, and experiment into a learning cycle. It keeps the focus on real needs and avoids premature solution language. This produces robust decisions for product and service.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighHigh
Timedifferent
60-120 min1 Tag bis mehrere Wochen1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
2-84-106-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopAsync
Outputdifferent
Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsProblem Statement, Prototype, Test LearningsExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
InnovationPrototypeResearch
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of a Strategy Canvas with several value curves
Business Strategy
Blue Ocean Strategy Canvas
Paper illustration of a Business Model Canvas with nine connected compartments, a few notes and symbols for customers, delivery and economic relationships.
Business Strategy
Business Model Canvas