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Criterion
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Decision Tree method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Decision Tree
Paper illustration for Smoke Test.
Product Discovery
Smoke Test
Purposedifferent
The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch.When demand only needs to be roughly verified, it tests interest with minimal effort. It measures whether people would take a next step at all.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
60-120 min30-90 min1-5 Tage
Participantsdifferent
2-81-6Nutzertraffic
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsDecision Tree, Option Map, Assumption ListInterest Metrics, Conversion Signal, Learning Note
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
DecisionTreeOptions
ValidationExperimentsDemandGrowth
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration for Fake Door Test
Product Discovery
Fake Door Test
Paper illustration of MVP Test Matrix with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
MVP Test Matrix