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Criterion
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Decision Tree method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Decision Tree
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Purposedifferent
The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.
Complexitysame
MediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
60-120 min30-90 min1-2 Wochen pro Iteration
Participantsdifferent
2-81-62-6
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsDecision Tree, Option Map, Assumption ListPrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report
Tagsno overlap
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
DecisionTreeOptions
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper illustration of MVP Test Matrix with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
MVP Test Matrix
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Paper illustration of Experiment Canvas with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Experiment Canvas