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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Evaporating Cloud |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Innovation Design Thinking |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | For complex user problems with an uncertain cause, the method connects observation, interpretation, and experiment into a learning cycle. It keeps the focus on real needs and avoids premature solution language. This produces robust decisions for product and service. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 45-90 min | 1 Tag bis mehrere Wochen |
Participantsdifferent | 2-8 | 2-8 | 4-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Conflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Problem Statement, Prototype, Test Learnings |
Tagsno overlap | Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | InnovationPrototypeResearch |
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