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| Criterion |  Innovation Double Diamond |  Decision Making Assumption Surfacing |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | For complex problems with a fuzzy situation, the method cleanly separates search space and decision. It first creates breadth in understanding and then focus in elaboration. This brings open questions, problem definition, and solution path into a traceable movement. | Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it. | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | High |
Timedifferent | Wochen bis Monate | 45-90 min | 2-4 h |
Participantsdifferent | 3-12 | 2-8 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Problem Statement, Solution Options, Prototypes, Deliverables per Phase | Assumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections |
Tagsno overlap | ProcessDivergenceInnovation | AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange |
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