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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |  Facilitation Alignment Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. | When several people work toward one goal but hold different mental maps, Alignment Mapping makes the discrepancies visible. It arranges goals, assumptions, and priorities so shared direction becomes verifiable. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 30-90 min | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 1-10 | 4-12 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan | Alignment Map, Open Issues, Decision Questions |
Tags1 shared | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight | AlignmentStakeholdersStrategyFacilitation |
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