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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Three-Point Estimation |  Facilitation Decision Jam |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | A single estimate for effort, time, or risk often looks too smooth for the real uncertainty behind it. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, and Assumption Notes. | When a decision is stuck, Decision Jam loosens the knot through structured separation of problem, idea, and selection. The format creates movement without jumping prematurely at the first seemingly elegant answer. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 10-30 min je Item | 60-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 1-8 | 4-10 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Three-Point Estimate, Risk Range, Assumption Notes | Problem Cluster, Prioritized Challenge, Experiment |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | EstimationUncertaintyForecasting | FacilitationDecisionProblem solvingWorkshop |
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