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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Business Strategy GAP Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 0.5-2 Tage | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 4-12 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Gap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk Notes |
Tags1 shared | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | StrategyAnalysisPlanning |
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