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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Decision Making Cynefin Workshop |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | When problems are unclear, chaotic, or only seemingly familiar, standard recipes fall short. A Cynefin Workshop sorts situations by the nature of their problem and connects them with matching action logic. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 0.5-2 Tage | 60-180 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 4-12 | 4-20 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Cynefin Map, Domain-specific Actions, Sensemaking Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | ComplexitySensemakingDecision |
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