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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Agile ROAM Board |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When work needs to move between different states or columns, it makes that movement and its handoffs legible. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a ROAM Board and an Owner List. | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 20-40 min initial, dann laufend | 20–45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-15 | Small cross-functional group |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | ROAM Board, Owner List | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | RiskAgileTrackingAlignment | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning |
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Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.
