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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Discovery Product Kata |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Product Kata helps clarify customer problems, solution ideas, and evidence through a repeatable improvement routine. It captures direction, current metric, target metric, experiment notes, and learning. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-2 Wochen je Loop | 45-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-10 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Direction, Current metric, Target metric, Experiment note, Learning report | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | OutcomesDiscoveryLearningIterationCoaching | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation |
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