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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making Pre-Mortem |  Delivery Communication Plan |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures. | When many people need to be informed in parallel and messages would otherwise arrive unevenly or too late, a Communication Plan orders communication reliably. Channels, audiences, and cadences interlock so important information doesn't get lost. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 20–45 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | Small cross-functional group | 2-6 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Risk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption log | Communication Plan, Channel Matrix, Message Cadence |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | RiskDecisionFailurePlanning | CommunicationStakeholdersDeliveryPlanning |
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