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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Discovery Opportunity Solution Tree |  Product Discovery MVP Test Matrix |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When discovery keeps swinging between goals, ideas, and learning loops, it creates clear steering logic. It connects the desired outcome, opportunities, and experiments into a legible structure. | When several minimal variants compete to answer the same question, it makes comparing and choosing between them cleaner. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Test Matrix and a Test Plan. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-2 h Setup, laufend | 45-75 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-6 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Opportunity Solution Tree, Experiment Backlog, Learning Log | Test Matrix, Test Plan |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | DiscoveryOutcomesExperimentsOpportunity | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryOptions |
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