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Criterion
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Paper illustration for Argument Mapping
Decision Making
Argument Mapping
Purposedifferent
When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on.
Complexitydifferent
HighMediumMedium
Timedifferent
1-4 Wochen15-60 min je Zyklus1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
6-30 Experten1-81-8
Formatdifferent
AsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action UpdatesArgument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale
Tags1 shared
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
SensemakingDecisionRationale
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Paper illustration of the Force Field Analysis working structure.
Decision Making
Force Field Analysis
Paper illustration for Cynefin Workshop.
Decision Making
Cynefin Workshop
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Paper illustration of an IBIS map with issues, positions and arguments
Knowledge Modeling
IBIS