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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Agile NoEstimates |  Product Discovery Hypothesis Prioritization Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When estimating slows a team down more than it helps, it shifts the focus to flow, small slices, and real lead time. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, and Slicing Rules. | When many hypotheses compete for attention, it brings order to their learning sequence and importance. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritization canvas and a hypothesis backlog. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | laufend | 60-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-12 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Throughput Data, Flow Forecast, Slicing Rules | Prioritization Canvas, Hypothesis Backlog |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | EstimationForecastingFlow | ExperimentsPrioritizationDiscoveryHypothesis |
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