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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Discovery MVP Test Matrix |  Agile Bucket System |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When several minimal variants compete to answer the same question, it makes comparing and choosing between them cleaner. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a Test Matrix and a Test Plan. | When a large batch of work needs a fast, rough estimate, it sorts items into predefined size buckets. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, and Split Candidates. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 45-75 min | 30-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Test Matrix, Test Plan | Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, Split Candidates |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryOptions | EstimationBacklogRelative sizing |
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