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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Systems Thinking Leverage Points |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy. | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | Half day | 30-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-12 | 1-10 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Leverage Map, Action Strategy | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan |
Tags1 shared | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | Systems thinkingChangeStrategy | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight |
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