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| Criterion | ![]() Decision Making Delphi Method | ![]() Systems Thinking Leverage Points | ![]() Systems Thinking Behavior Over Time Graph |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy. | A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots. |
Complexitydifferent | High | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | Half day | 20-45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 3-12 | 1-10 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Leverage Map, Action Strategy | Behavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key Events |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | Systems thinkingChangeStrategy | Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics |
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