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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Strategy Lean Canvas |  Business Strategy Value Chain Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When an early product bet still has too many open points, it brings target group, problem, and assumptions into a single view. It condenses the idea so core risks become nameable. | Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 45-90 min | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 1-6 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Lean Canvas, Core Assumptions, Experiment Backlog | Value Chain Map, Lever List |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | StartupLeanAssumptionsBusiness model | StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis |
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