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| Criterion |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Knowledge Modeling IBIS |  Systems Thinking Leverage Points |
|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | IBIS structures thinking about complex questions as a sequence of issues, ideas, and arguments. The method keeps discussions open without forcing them into premature consensus. | Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy. |
Complexitydifferent | High | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 1-4 Wochen | 1-3 h | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Issue Map, Positions, Argument Notes | Leverage Map, Action Strategy |
Tagsno overlap | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | RationaleKnowledgeDecision | Systems thinkingChangeStrategy |
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